London turnout
posted by: Nick L | on: Friday, 2 May 2008, 14:49
London Elects estimates the turnout in London to be 45%, up from 36% in 2004. This translates into 2.4m votes. This in turn means the BNP need 120,000 votes to secure 5%, 192,000 to get 8% and 264,000 for 11% and three seats.
So, who is going to make any predictions?
Posted: 2 May 2008 | There are 4 comments
Comments
Comment 1 | From: Hack | Date: 2 May 2008, 14:53
If the media were making a fuss about Ken having a tipple of whisky at his speeches, imagine the whoo-haa at Mr Barnbrook turning up for his press conferences ... someone should pat down his imitation leather briefcase for those cans of lager ... (hoping he doesn't get onto the GLA of course)
Comment 2 | From: michaela tabb fan club | Date: 2 May 2008, 14:58
Does anybody know what's going on as regard to Solihull, particularly in George Morgan's Chelmsley Wood ward?
Comment 3 | From: john | Date: 2 May 2008, 15:06
This is interesting. When you put what they require in such bare figures it make me feel a little more optimistic about the GLA than I have for the past few weeks. Remember that in the 2005 General Election, the BNP polled 193,000 votes across the country as a whole. Now, if the suggested trend is correct, and we are seeing previous BNP voters turning to the Tories instead, then the BNP will be lucky to get one seat. Fingers crossed...
Comment 4 | From: Jonathan | Date: 2 May 2008, 16:17
But do you know the growth of the electorate? You need to know this to do your calculation.
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