A trend is starting to emerge

posted by: Nick Lowles | on: Friday, 5 June 2009, 11:45

We won't know the European results until Sunday but the early indications is that we will definitely not be seeing a BNP landslide.

The County Council results that have so far been declared show the BNP averaging 10-20% in those wards where they are the only protest party but its vote dropping considerably where UKIP or even the English Democrats are standing.

Burnley is looking bad, with the BNP hoping to pick up a couple of seats in the
County Council elections but again they are the only real challengers to Labour
so they have been able to hoover up the anti-Labour vote. BNP support seems high in other parts of Lancashire as well but of course UKIP were not standing in these. However, the European Elections is totally different and the verification done in Burnley shows that many of those who voted BNP in the county council elections switched to UKIP in the Euros.

The bottom line is that it is going to be close but it is clear that it is UKIP rather than the BNP which is taking the bulk of the anti-establishment vote.